Tuesday, August 20, 2013

NATURAL LAW

Each day that goes by draws us one step closer to the resolution of the quantum theory of economics being challenged by the mad professor running the Fed. Will QE be successful in providing the necessary fuel to propel us through the deleveraging of the greatest ponzi ever perpetrated on civilization? Will the mad professor be able to engineer a feat deemed virtually impossible and land a 747 on an aircraft carrier fully loaded with people and fuel? Scratch that. Will the mad professor be able to gradually debase the currency while allowing the banks to completely recapitalize, while erasing hundreds of trillions of derivatives off their balance sheets and landing on a fractional reserve system with a safe leverage of say.......6:1 instead of the current 30:1 system....and THAT is conservative. It could be over 50:1...there is just no way to tell with their lack of transparency safely guarded by the mad professor.

This type of analysis is getting old to most of you but I am sorry to have to say........it is CORE TO THIS PONZI. There is currently a breaking point in the game that has been crossed and that is something you want to recognize. We have crossed the Rubicon. Maybe you haven't felt it, but that won't change what has happened. The earnings reports are telling you something that is very important. Wal Mart, Cisco, IBM, Caterpillar, and many other bellweather stocks are missing badly on their revenues.....  The mad professor is going to cut back on taper and the economy is stalling with NO prospects of a "real" turnaround. We're even talking seriously about installing another major expenditure onto the small business engine with a major health care tax in the midst of a private industry collapse? Why not just throw a grenade in a storage tank of gasoline and get it over with. 

Whether this is a grand conspiracy or just pure incompetence, one cannot deny the necessary events to bring us into the final phase of the 120 year grand supercycle collapse and the completion of the Law of Nature is now set in motion. As these events unfold the game will become more violent in its moves with participants finding themselves become ripped from more than just their money. Fear will become the primary emotion that even the sanguine hosts on CNBS will be overcome by. You've probably noticed the daily tone already changing as the chatter is increasingly shrill and confused as they scramble to find some shred of objective truth we're not going over the cliff of no return. Sorry to say folks...... E=MC2 and that is Nature's Law.





69 comments:

  1. Turd started charging for his crap? Geezzzz... no way would I pay for that dribble. I just went for the comments :)

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    1. I agree but if PMs make a big run, he might do well because all the newbies just being introduced to PMs will believe the site preaches the gospel. It will be coincidence of course but he could capitalize on the uneducated and inexperienced.

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  2. I have to say if we taper any significant amount or even at all I'll be surprised. That chart showing everyone dumping treasuries and "Mystery Buyer X" on Zerohedge yesterday said it all to me. There can be no taper or it's lights out.

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    1. Gee more "indecision" haha... shocking. Suuuure you'll taper ;)

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    2. Low volume for an FOMC day.

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    3. Scratch that on the volume haha I guess yahoo hadn't updated.

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  3. Mystery Buyer X=$60 + $85=$144 Bil. in June??? Is this even possible? Isn't that almost $2T yoy? Geeeeezzzz. But I'm guessing higher rates will contain inflation, lol.

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    1. Probably 60-65% (say 1.2T per year) is a rollover of past debt (not new debt). New federal debt is supposedly running less than $1T this year.

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  4. Guess we'll see if those that were waiting for a pullback in the miners will buy now to resume the rally. Gold and silver didn't fall much really, move to the downside in miners is overdone but needed to work off the overboughtness. At least that's my guess ;)

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  5. Just going to watch it sort out the next few days and buy if the daily softens up on some of my favs.......don't have a lot of cash to play so I'll make it count.....My bigger buy would be physical if they can hold it down for a couple more weeks.....c'mon ice cream

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    1. another big shakeout would be very possible to get the last leaves off the tree

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  6. War probability increasing, maybe chemical weapons in Syria will be the excuse du jour. So they need a shakeout before the war is announced. Any of you readers out there would really enjoy Brad Thor's Hidden Order...he had a lot of guts to write this book about the Fed. It's very plausible

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  7. 1,300 killed in Syria today...in one day. I agree Sister, major war coming.

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    1. Saw the footage on Arab news channels, disturbing. Didn't look like there was any visible wounds on the dead, so reports of chemical weapons being used seem legit. Then again, you never know.

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    2. Assad is NOT using chemicals .......the "rebels" (us) are ....false flag to crumble another country

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    3. Wow very possible, and insanely diabolical

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    4. age old method for the Western Bankers to implode stable countries and create tremendous destabilization fomenting strife, war,,,,,,and not leastly.....money......a lot a money.......money for bombs.....money for vehicles and tanks......money for rebuilding

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  8. "you" are conspicuous by your abscense

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  9. Maybe a dumb thought but I was thinking... could tapering and rates rising actually benefit metals too? Due to not only fear and uncertainty in the market but the fact that there will be a point that the interest rate gets too high that the US will be threatened with defaulting potentially? I'm sure there's a breaking point for that to occur no idea what it would be.. 5-6% on the ten year?

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    1. precious metals perform the best during severe deflation from the fear trade. you should pay attention to the draining of the real physical and less to the daily noise. this is NOT going to end well and the east knows this ...the west is too dumbed down........

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  10. Does anybody else think that some people's imaginations are getting a little carried away? This blog contains a lot of solid information and ideas based on sound fiscal facts and logic, as well as geopolitical knowledge. Clearly there are some unreckoned and unsustainable regional and wide-spread liabilities that should have more or less predictable consequences. However, it wouldn't seem wise to extrapolate that to mean every newsflash, every bullet fired, car accident, or flatulence passed is an orchestrated part of some diabolical conspiracy. Sometimes a cigar is actually just a cigar.

    ....unless the bloggers here are all just unwitting puppet tools of disinformation clouding reality in order to hide the REAL master plot to take over all of our minds......dammit, where's my tinfoil hat?

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    1. Unwitting???? maybe....certainly less unwitting now than perhaps a year ago.....certainly less unwitting now than five years ago.....Its a process and my age and research and people that I have had the fortune of meeting have allowed me to gain a perspective that aids me in my investment and "life situations"...I'm a cynic in life and will remain so..but jumping on every tinfoil idea has never been a weakness....ignoring the obvious is unpardonable however.......gl

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    2. Think,

      I found it for ya......

      http://www.raisinbun.com/uploads/2012/11/tin-foil-hat.jpg

      Nice drive by!

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    3. Conspiracy or prophecy? I invite you to read sections of Daniel and Revelation in the Bible. Do a little research - start with Googling "bible 1260 days". 1260 days is 3 1/2 years or 30 x 42. (The Jewish calendar had 30 days in a month and a leap month every Sabbath (7th year). Next Google Jubilee. You may be surprised at how accurate some of the prophecy is.

      Did you know the Nazi attempt to eradicate the Jews was 3 1/2 years? Or that the teachings of Jesus was over a 3 1/2 year period? Or a Kitchin cycle is 3 1/2 years?

      The more you learn - the more you learn how little you know.

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  11. Dips are getting pretty hard to catch ;)

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    1. nobody is let in if the bottom is in

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  12. Dear "thinkthenact",

    Kliguy's opening statement explains it. Here is a portion:

    "Always do your own due diligence...my commentary is just that...commentary."

    Instead of your writing "some people's imaginations are getting a little carried away?", what we are trying to do here is "increase YOUR own awareness", so YOU can try and SEE what is truly going on in the world. Now, is that an easy thing to do?? Of course not! I have been trying to figure it out for years now and I read from multiple sources. Have I been lead in the wrong direction @ times??--of course I have. Are our masters trying to use us as "just unwitting puppet tools of disinformation clouding reality...", well, Yes, of course they are. But, if we can increase our own awareness and do it correctly, I think we will be better off to help each other and out families. And perhaps our masters will be disappointed that they could not fool us all.

    Become part of the blog here and help us out.

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    1. yup.....this is an exchange site for ideas and links from the members......and that's why its still open......for now

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  13. Ditto Kli and Doc. For better or worse, I would describe my state of (un)awareness as "imaginative" 5 years ago and now as realistic. Just watch NBC, CNBS for a while to see the agenda in full display. It really isn't all that complicated. Best of luck.

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  14. Ugh Fed weeks are the worst... like watching paint dry.

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  15. Feel sorry for anybody that bought weekly options... I'd be LIVID. Haha welcome to the most crooked casino on earth. At least you get drinks, food, and a place to crash in Vegas ;)

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  16. And speaking of CONfidence, it's been over 2 hrs. now. At least it's stuck in positive territory, lol.

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  17. LOL. The first part of my comment stands on its own. Still. The last section I wote about the bloggers here being puppets of disinformation and tinfoil hats was mostly just hyperbole in an attempt at humor. Lighten up and have a little fun, people.

    At least it stimulated some interesting responses.

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    1. many bloggers including myself become purveyors of disinformation unintentionally.....one can only rely upon developed internal filter to try and limit it.....and still one will fail.....read everything with a strong sense of cynicism and use your own best judgement

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  18. Think,

    http://www.curiositiesbydickens.com/wp-content/uploads/courage-to-stand-alone.jpg

    Inlet,

    My new screen saver

    The more you learn - the more you learn how little you know!

    Thanks

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  19. Think,

    Cigar, Cigarette, Shmoke and a pancake or just tinfoil?

    http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article35930.htm

    http://washingtonexaminer.com/president-obama-still-claims-the-nsa-is-not-spying-on-americans/article/2534548

    http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article35938.htm

    http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=223798

    http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article35928.htm

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-08-23/us-refines-military-options-ahead-syrian-strikes

    Your right nothing to see here, when is Duck Dynasty on?????






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  20. The 13 1/2 month gold cycle: http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/tom-mcclellan/gold-s-thirteen-half-month-cycle Note this is 1/3 of the 42 month (3 1/2 year) or 1260 day cycle mentioned in my last comment,,,,

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  21. something broke loose in the PMs right here that may be the physical exerting some real pressure on the paper pushers...could get very interesting today......have to see if they breach 1400 but 1400 should provide stiff resistance traders

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  22. Thanks for that link Inlet...watched the news last night and for the second in a row SYRIA was at the top...they're killing children! That should do it. (sarc).

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  23. could just be a pump then dump to get out some weak hands but that would give nice reentry/entry for some.......OR.....could give a really over bot that just forms another bull flag as they freeze the buyers on the sidelines.....hehehhehehe either way the true bulls are fine

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    1. bottom line.....this is the bullish volatility that is expected off a true bottom.....now here is the real concertn that a much bigger weekend event is the true driver

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  24. Seem to be holding back the miners here still... need GDX to break around 30.50 with some conviction.

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  25. yup.......they're gonna take it straight up to 1400 line.....should consolidate in a big bull flag on the daily then gap over trapping shorts...second scenario is take it over today in a much bigger pole formation with a much nastier flag forming......diabolical

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  26. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-08-23/precious-metals-spike

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  27. SLV has a pretty clear shot at $25. Could be there VERY soon.

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    1. using 1400 to form a top for a flag makes sense before they rip it up again

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    2. Tempting to take profits here and wait for a downdraft but I don't think I want to mess with that, because if something happens over the weekend and 1400 breaks it's off to the races for a bit.

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    3. I added a little AXU just now...it has a long way to run longer term

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    4. 1400 cracking... short covering soon?

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    5. could squeeze them to 1430 before retest

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  28. Inlet & others, I read that Tom McClellan article & looked at his charts. He is writing that a cycle low will occur sometime in November 2013. So although Gold is rising now, his cycle implies that eventually it will turn down--such that a low will occur this November.

    Is that how you would interpret his charts? Also, can you get a sense for where Gold might peak & also what the November low might be? Some are writing that a lower low for Gold will occur.

    Seems that for those of us that may want to add physical, it would be best to wait until November.

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    1. might get a low in November but if the physical market is as tight as it appears then "the bottom" may be in.....trying to pick bottoms if for suckers or "dumb luck".....your masters will screw as many as possible......

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    2. From the article: "The latest instance of this cycle's major bottoms was ideally due in May 2013. It arrived a month late in June,"... Not sure where you get Nov 2013. Look at the up/down grid line for 2014 an count the bars back to the low.

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  29. I got November 2013 from the actual article:

    "Coming up sometime around November 2013, we can reasonably expect the next occurrence of a mid-cycle low, which tends to appear just as the sine wave representation is reaching its cycle top. In other words, this cycle is really a two-humped or "bactrian" cycle, with two important price highs occurring on either side of the top of the cycle itself. And within the construction of those two price highs, there exists a lot of information."

    If you look at his 1st chart, the bottom part of the chart shows a histogram/bar-type chart that rises & falls in a very symmetrical fashion. He is writing that when the new top of the present cycle occurs, Gold should be at a cycle low. He has this occurring around November--but it is hard to tell when one year ends and another begins.

    Why study cycles if we are not supposed to figure out when a bottom might occur??

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    1. sorry if i sound jaded but the question referenced physical buy......one should NOT delay buying physical at these levels and continue to average in with their cash......IF they have cash then they should determine what they are going to allocate to ACTUAL physical and DO so....my concern is that MANY if not MOST that read this blog have NO or very little physical metal and are waiting for THE bottom....which in most cases will result in NO metal ever being obtained.....as I mentioned several times if you DO catch THE bottom and go heavy at that level then I will be more than happy for you. That is just not likely to happen with most traders, either professional OR retail. Your actual physical is your preservation of wealth if we get through this intact....and it will weather the storm and may provide you a life saving resource.

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  30. Doc - there are always multiple cycles going on at any given time. The point of the article is that the 13 1/2 month cycle has been a dominant cycle over the past few years (so he expects that dominance to continue in the future, it may not).

    Now as to his reference to a two-humped cycle - this is due to another shorter cycle imposed upon the longer 13 1/2 month cycle. Suppose that cycle is 1/2 as long as the 12 1/2 month cycle (6 3/4 month - commonly identifies as a 7 month cycle). It tops about 3 3/8 months into the 13 1/2 month cycle (mid Sept - hump 1) and bottoms 6 3/4 months later (around the end of the year - might be as early as November). But this is also the time frame in which the 13 1/2 month cycle tops. But as the 6 3/4 month cycle pushes hard down it dominates giving you some pullback at the longer cycle top. You should get a second hump in March 2014.

    It is not as easy as picking 1 cycle and saying this is the whole picture. You have to consider multiple cycles interacting and which is dominant within a cycle window. But, by tracking a dominant cycle you should have a bigger picture of what to expect within a range...

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  31. OK. Thanks.

    Maybe I'm looking at the article & charts too simplistically. It's just that McClellan seems to imply that Gold will reach a low sometimes around November. I realize this might be off by a month or two.

    I'm just commenting that perhaps this recent run up in Gold will begin to fail, and then the price will fall to another low. I agree that those wealthy individuals that may want to buy millions of dollars in physical gold may have a problem if they wait too long. Those of us with smaller pockets might be OK.

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    1. Maybe doc but I'm concerned that the small fry will get screwed to the wall on the physical buy EVEN IF they establish a new paper low for gold. I don't equate miners and physical silver/gold. You have to possess it and you probably do already but you might be surprised how many people that believe there is a ponzi and read blogs like this and agree with the basic premise DONT own any physical metal but do have 10 or 50 or 100K even more ...... I cannot fathom not putting 20% ALREADY especially when silver hit sub 20 in metal.....but they DID NOT.....I just cannot understand that thinking.....now on the miners???that is another argument completely.....hehehheheheheheheheehhee that is casino gambling in many ways

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    2. I'm in the "do" camp, but do like a bargain as well. Naturally, I could be 100% wrong, but I just think there is a lower low coming. Building up cash best I can.

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  32. Doc,

    Just something else to consider, if the paper price of gold gets back below $1200 what will be the premium and will there be availability! If the premium asked gets to $100 and possibly there are shortages for what your looking to purchase, what's the point of waiting for the "low".......

    Your not the only one waiting in the wings for it to drop!

    I believe the lower the price the more difficult and expensive it becomes to acquire, just my observation fwiw.....

    btw: I'll keep the links coming but only up to a point......

    http://observer.com/2013/08/you-leak-you-lose-going-to-prison-for-acts-of-journalism/

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  33. Trader Dan reporting that JPM has taken the "lion's share" of the gold deliveries this month. They seem hellbent on going to war...what else they got? :(

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