Monday, March 12, 2018


I was musing about some topic that might seem pertinent to our current situation and low and behold the Grand Super Cycle popped up. How can the bitter clingers still believing in economic cycles influencing your macro economic outlook and the influences on your stock market trading decisions not want to know about this critical theory and its current status.

Well maybe Cliff Droke can step in and comment on its useful application and how a 2014 collapse came and left with barely a whimper. Maybe that's why the SnP short at its 61.8 retrace at 1228 was the ticket we should have jumped on. I know I had some shorts entered several times and usually closed them out with a loss or made minimal returns. More than likely my significant losses in 2009 on SRS a real estate short tempered my enthusiasm for shorting this market "recovery", and saved me from any aggressive shorts leading into the Kress cycle collapse. I chose instead to go with the gold and silver miners as my big play and like some of you found out that could be painful as well. I knew one thing for certain and said so many times that shorting this ponzi would be very difficult after living through the 2008 shorting. They pulled every dirty trick they could to prevent us peasants from making a dime in their casino. I didn't short this pig "with both hands" at 1228. 

Fortunately 2016 brought the pitiful miner positions back from the brink of extinction and even after the last year and a half of beatdown. Hell they might find some love yet.......time will tell of course as great stocks like Uber and Tesla and Netflix just burn the shit out of cash and rack up debt to the moon. Maybe you're one of the believers that "this time its different" and compose the bulk of precious metals sentiment which is "the battle is lost" and the "cartel has won"......or what I think is even more amazing you believe that "selling your physical gold and silver and buying BitCON" is your ticket to prosperity.

To my "show me" thinking it only adds support to my view that we are only in a consolidation in the PM trade and time running out on the suppression. Notice I said "suppression".  "They" will CONtrol the next leg up on this PM move in the near term and perhaps even into the final massive move in the metals. Before the 2016 run up several of the big players like Dalio announced they were long miners and gold just as they are again today. Stay patient. Oh...and the Kress cycle a search.....its history.....literally.


  1. Well I hear she is stumping in India right now lol

    " ...I won the places that represent 2/3 of America's gross domestic product. So I won the areas that are optimistic, diverse, dynamic, moving forward. And his whole campaign "Make America Great Again," was looking backwards.

    You know, you didn't like black people getting rights, you don't like women, you know, getting jobs, you don't wanna see that Indian American succeeding more than you are. "


    oh the irony, on so many levels.

    California is looking a lot more like India in more ways than one. Can't some
    people admit when there 15 minutes are up...

  2. Kunstler excellent and will post above

  3. Kress 6 year cycle top October 2018???

    1. don't know inlet ....i do know that Droke was touting 2014 as the big takedown year and yet they printed more air into the bubble. it all ends badly as the big boyz like Gross Dalio Drukenmiller and others say but as you and i know timing it is very tricky with the counterfeiting of CONfidence and fiat fuel........this is strictly a patience issue for me with zero stress........I will do like livermore and wait for the miners to breakout and small trades around my core holdings

    2. FWIW my wall street hedge players ALL know its a complete joke and just shake their heads waiting for the next shoe to drop......

  4. Larry Kudlow, who I have always thought was a total dumdass says I would sell gold and buy the dollar.. So now you know what to do..

    1. so here's another way to look at his comment ....WHY would LK take the time to make THAT comment with GOLD in his comment......after all gold is such a barbarous unimportant relic....yet LK thinks it needed to be singled out......hmmmmmmmmmmm

    2. Let's not forget these great quotes during the 21st century!

      "Free market capitalism is the best path to prosperity!"

      "The Bush boom is alive and well. It's finishing up its sixth splendid year with many more years to come!"

      "Either believe in markets, or you believe in government!"

      "The government shouldn't run anything, because it can't run anything!"

      "If stocks are optimistic, then so am I."

      So let's get this straight, a guy who propagandized on CNBC about "markets", getting guvmint outta de way so these unregulated banks can have a field day until it all blows up and come back hat in hand to the average schmuck payin' for it all. Now we are back in another housing bubble and the banks are bigger then eva and if stocks are optimistic so am I!?!?

      We got a reality show host for a prez and now he is hiring another reality show host to run economic policy! You can't make this stuff up!

      It makes perfect sense!


    3. well put......a true deep state guy....born n bred in the intellectually corrupt economics of "trickle down" economics to the "little guy" cain't make dis chit up.....

    4. OL' kudlow will do well with Trump. He has a flexible spine and knows what a set of knee pads are for. You really think Kudlow will "change" Trump? not. A match made in heaven for us anti NAFTA guys cause Kudlow will have zero influence...

      Just Sayin.


  5. great vids above worth your time

  6. again i repeat is on......the dollar deval has started and will accelerate this year.....inflation is the surprise no one is predicting

  7. Longer cycles:

  8. lynette zang vids above are both excellent......she's starting to grow on me


  10. Any thoughts On the Bridge collapse?

    I have never seen concrete fail so badly. Looks more like slurry.

    My bet is on dirty mud.

    Much sadness for those impacted.


  11. Remember there used to be a Kudlow & Cramer show.... Looks like Trump wanted a "Fluffer"! Heheeee

    I'm sure you saw that Mr. Magoo gave McCabe his pink slip without his pension, wonder who's next.... Hehehe

    Bridge... Seems you get what you pay for.

    1. While we are on the subject of reality show hosts, here's another beauty!

      But what this reality show host fails to mention is what this commentor gets:

      "I agree with most of this dialogue, however, a lot of the dissatisfaction of work comes from not being able to get ahead as a worker anymore. Before we started assaulting the middle class with taxes, hard work made sense. When the tax laws are designed to slaughter wage earners and rewards investors willing to take on ungodly amounts of debt used to leverage against the working class, why in God's name would anyone want to be a worker? The tax laws have to be changed in order for us to get back to normal. The tax laws are designed to benefit the 1% who use their capital to enslave the 99%. That's the elephant in the room that needs to be addressed, and neither party will do it, because they are 2 sides of the same coin protecting the 1%. "

      Tom you should see my tax bill!

    2. Ha! Wanna see my Property Taxes....

      Mike Rowe is dialed in, he gets it!